Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.010393 0.012403 0.014868 0.018171 0.022577 0.028395 0.036921
2025-08-03 0.007876 0.010187 0.013377 0.018301 0.026113 0.038871 0.063500
2025-08-10 0.006361 0.008630 0.011995 0.017686 0.027879 0.047464 0.095575
2025-08-17 0.005280 0.007390 0.010678 0.016603 0.028206 0.053563 0.130701
2025-08-24 0.004540 0.006512 0.009703 0.015761 0.028553 0.059934 0.178130
2025-08-31 0.004163 0.006130 0.009450 0.016129 0.031536 0.075193 0.297768
2025-09-07 0.003743 0.005611 0.008855 0.015658 0.032400 0.085491 0.441011
2025-09-14 0.003371 0.005125 0.008238 0.014984 0.032489 0.093644 0.628989
2025-09-21 0.003137 0.004845 0.007960 0.014974 0.034394 0.111270 1.122411
2025-09-28 0.003011 0.004740 0.007993 0.015680 0.038794 0.147399 3.113402
2025-10-05 0.002966 0.004773 0.008304 0.017144 0.046660 0.222988 28.644890
2025-10-12 0.002849 0.004660 0.008291 0.017785 0.052168 0.305015 47641.404329
2025-10-19 0.002673 0.004432 0.008042 0.017845 0.056104 0.403568 NaN
2025-10-26 0.002517 0.004229 0.007825 0.017972 0.060777 0.557975 NaN
2025-11-02 0.002334 0.003953 0.007404 0.017372 0.061578 0.672882 NaN
2025-11-09 0.002144 0.003648 0.006875 0.016315 0.059324 0.716900 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001988 0.003398 0.006447 0.015493 0.057955 0.788118 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001913 0.003308 0.006388 0.015852 0.063939 1.232689 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001803 0.003134 0.006104 0.015392 0.064520 1.522792 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001692 0.002952 0.005782 0.014734 0.063365 1.729941 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001622 0.002852 0.005652 0.014724 0.066943 2.598611 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001589 0.002828 0.005708 0.015414 0.076933 6.294790 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001586 0.002868 0.005935 0.016843 0.096434 49.374542 NaN